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#2 Лёд в Арктике, минимумы 2007 и 2008 годов

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Интервью с метеорологом Машей Цукерник , в котором она рассказывает о том:

  • Что произошло со льдом в 2007 и какие факторы оказали наибольшее влияние на экстремальное таяние
  • Что такое положительная обратная связь лёд-альбедо
  • Как развивались события в 2008 году
  • Когда, согласно моделям, стоит ожидать полного исчезновения летнего льда в Арктике

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seaiceminimum2007-contour50На рисунке минимум площади льда в 2007 году. Оранжевая линия - средняя граница льда с концентрацией более 50% для 1979-1983 годов, красная линия то-же но для 2002-2006.

Больше ссылок и картинок под катом

Ссылки

  • Сайт Маши Цукерник на NCAR
  • http://seaice.de/ - оперативные карты ледовой обстановки в Арктике и Антарктике
  • Sea Ice Outlook - прогнозы и реальное состояние летнего льда в 2008 году
  • Sea Ice Index - Сайт на котором в достаточно оперативном режиме можно следить за тем что происходит с криосферой
  • Доклады IPCC (МГЭИК) - некоторые части доклада доступны и на русском. Некоторые иллюстрации, можно посмотреть в нашей библиотеке
  • http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/assessments-reports.htm

Картинки

chart2

Площадь льда в Арктике с 1979 по 2008 годы

Изменение площади льда в разные годы с июня по октябрь

Изменение площади льда в разные годы с июня по октябрь
Возраст морского льда в Арктике, 2007 и 2008 годы

Возраст морского льда в Арктике, 2007 и 2008 годы
Лёд в день минимума 14 сентября 2008 года

Лёд в день минимума 14 сентября 2008 года
Положительная обратная связь лёд-альбедо
Положительная обратная связь лёд-альбедо
Модельные предсказания и реальная площадь льда в Арктике

Модельные предсказания и реальная площадь льда в Арктике

Музыка в подкасте
http://kartelband.ru

Подписаться на RSS ленту подкаста можно по этим адресам:
Лента с rpod
Лента с podfm

Бонус для тех кто любит почитать

  • Comiso, J. C., Nishio, F., (2008). Trends in the sea ice cover using enhanced and compatible amsr-e, ssm/i, and smmr data. Journal of Geophysical Research 113, C02S07+
  • Maslanik, J. A., Fowler, C., Stroeve, J., Drobot, S., Zwally, J., Yi, D., Emery, W., (2007b). A younger, thinner arctic ice cover: Increased potential for rapid, extensive sea-ice loss. Geophysical Research Letters 34, L24501
  • Kwok, R., (2008). Summer sea ice motion from the 18 ghz channel of amsr-e and the exchange of sea ice between the pacific and atlantic sectors. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L03504
  • Zhang, J., Lindsay, R., Steele, M., Schweiger, A.,(2008). What drove the dramatic retreat of arctic sea ice during summer 2007? Geophysical Research Letters 35, L11505
  • Maslanik, J., Drobot, S., Fowler, C., Emery, W., Barry, R., (2007a). On the arctic climate paradox and the continuing role of atmospheric circulation in affecting sea ice conditions. Geophysical Research Letters 34, L03711
  • Stroeve, J., Serreze, M., Drobot, S., Gearheard, S., Holland, M., Maslanik, J., Meier, W., Scambos, T., (2008). Arctic sea ice extent plummets in 2007. Eos Trans. AGU 89 (2)
  • Schweiger, A. J., J. Zhang, R. W. Lindsay, and M. Steele, (2008). Did unusually sunny skies help drive the record sea ice minimum of 2007?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L10503
  • Kay, J. E., L\'Ecuyer, T., Gettelman, A., Stephens, G., O\'Dell, C., (2008). The contribution of cloud and radiation anomalies to the 2007 arctic sea ice extent minimum. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L08503
  • Perovich, D. K., Richter-Menge, J. A., Jones, K. F., Light, B., (2008). Sunlight, water, and ice: Extreme arctic sea ice melt during the summer of 2007. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L11501
  • Steele, M., Ermold, W., Zhang, J., (2008). Arctic ocean surface warming trends over the past 100 years. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L02614

38 комментариев

Спасибо за пост! Добавил блог в RSS-ридер, теперь читать буду регулярно..

На самом деле не поймешь, кого слушать!)
Еженедельно в центральных газетах пишут, что максимум исторический достигнут прям-таки сегодня! И мы все умрем! И экологическую ситуацию в Арктике и во всем мире не спасти.
А вы говорите, что все нормально, небольшая аномалия…

Огромное спасибо за потрясающие идеи!!! Буду следить за блогом, много всего интересного. А мой блог о науке, надеюсь, тоже понравится ;)

Я говорю — БОЛЬШАЯ аномалия :)

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